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@@ -5,8 +5,9 @@
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// M0041371 逆回购利率:7天 (%, 日)
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// M0061518 人民币存款准备金率:大型存款类金融机构 (%, 月)
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// M0085858 金融机构:超额准备金率 (%, 月)
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-// M0096879 一般贷款利率:加权利率 (%, 月)
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-// M0096881 个人住房按揭贷款利率:加权 (%, 月)
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+// M0058002 贷款加权平均利率 (%, 季)
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+// M0096879 一般贷款利率:加权利率 (%, 季)
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+// M0096881 个人住房按揭贷款利率:加权 (%, 季)
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// M5405501 财政赤字(预期目标) (亿元, 年)
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// M5405502 财政赤字率(预期目标) (%, 年)
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// M6179494 社会融资规模存量:政府债券 (万亿元, 月)
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@@ -162,14 +163,42 @@ export const rrrAdjustments = [
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// ===== 时间序列 mock(用于图表展示) =====
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-// 10年国债收益率(月度,近5年)
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+// 中债国债到期收益率:10年 (%, 月末日观测, 数据源:4.1.1-债市分析-其他部分.xlsx 政策面 C 列, 共 129 个月)
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function mockY10Series() {
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const arr = [
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- ['2021-12-31', 2.78], ['2022-03-31', 2.81], ['2022-06-30', 2.83], ['2022-09-30', 2.71],
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- ['2022-12-31', 2.84], ['2023-03-31', 2.85], ['2023-06-30', 2.70], ['2023-09-30', 2.68],
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- ['2023-12-31', 2.56], ['2024-03-31', 2.31], ['2024-06-30', 2.21], ['2024-09-30', 2.04],
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- ['2024-12-31', 1.68], ['2025-03-31', 1.81], ['2025-06-30', 1.65], ['2025-09-30', 1.86],
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- ['2025-12-31', 1.85], ['2026-03-31', 1.78], ['2026-06-30', 1.73], ['2026-08-31', 1.68],
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+ ['2016-01-31', 2.8368], ['2016-02-29', 2.8527], ['2016-03-31', 2.8422], ['2016-04-28', 2.8913],
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+ ['2016-05-31', 2.9952], ['2016-06-30', 2.8038], ['2016-07-31', 2.7830], ['2016-08-31', 2.7452],
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+ ['2016-09-29', 2.7258], ['2016-10-31', 2.7375], ['2016-11-30', 2.9893], ['2016-12-30', 3.0115],
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+ ['2017-01-25', 3.3465], ['2017-02-28', 3.3252], ['2017-03-31', 3.2730], ['2017-04-27', 3.4668],
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+ ['2017-05-31', 3.6152], ['2017-06-29', 3.5683], ['2017-07-31', 3.6373], ['2017-08-31', 3.6353],
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+ ['2017-09-29', 3.6136], ['2017-10-31', 3.8630], ['2017-11-30', 3.8852], ['2017-12-30', 3.8807],
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+ ['2018-01-31', 3.9066], ['2018-02-28', 3.8201], ['2018-03-29', 3.7407], ['2018-04-27', 3.6217],
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+ ['2018-05-31', 3.6202], ['2018-06-28', 3.4756], ['2018-07-31', 3.4638], ['2018-08-30', 3.5751],
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+ ['2018-09-29', 3.6103], ['2018-10-31', 3.4936], ['2018-11-29', 3.3550], ['2018-12-30', 3.2265],
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+ ['2019-01-31', 3.1032], ['2019-02-28', 3.1870], ['2019-03-31', 3.1332], ['2019-04-29', 3.3869],
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+ ['2019-05-30', 3.2751], ['2019-06-30', 3.2254], ['2019-07-31', 3.1487], ['2019-08-29', 3.0573],
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+ ['2019-09-29', 3.1411], ['2019-10-31', 3.2757], ['2019-11-28', 3.1650], ['2019-12-30', 3.1365],
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+ ['2020-01-22', 2.9932], ['2020-02-27', 2.7376], ['2020-03-31', 2.5550], ['2020-04-29', 2.5380],
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+ ['2020-05-31', 2.7253], ['2020-06-30', 2.8456], ['2020-07-30', 2.9664], ['2020-08-31', 3.0478],
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+ ['2020-09-29', 3.1482], ['2020-10-29', 3.1810], ['2020-11-30', 3.2725], ['2020-12-30', 3.1429],
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+ ['2021-01-31', 3.1712], ['2021-02-28', 3.2475], ['2021-03-31', 3.1960], ['2021-04-29', 3.1640],
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+ ['2021-05-31', 3.0400], ['2021-06-30', 3.0878], ['2021-07-29', 2.8363], ['2021-08-31', 2.8226],
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+ ['2021-09-29', 2.8776], ['2021-10-31', 2.9435], ['2021-11-30', 2.8401], ['2021-12-30', 2.7754],
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+ ['2022-01-29', 2.6997], ['2022-02-28', 2.8025], ['2022-03-31', 2.7743], ['2022-04-28', 2.8386],
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+ ['2022-05-31', 2.7551], ['2022-06-30', 2.8255], ['2022-07-31', 2.7292], ['2022-08-31', 2.6125],
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+ ['2022-09-29', 2.7601], ['2022-10-31', 2.6629], ['2022-11-30', 2.8600], ['2022-12-30', 2.8353],
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+ ['2023-01-31', 2.9101], ['2023-02-28', 2.8977], ['2023-03-30', 2.8528], ['2023-04-27', 2.7788],
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+ ['2023-05-31', 2.6825], ['2023-06-29', 2.6351], ['2023-07-31', 2.6607], ['2023-08-31', 2.5850],
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+ ['2023-09-27', 2.6751], ['2023-10-31', 2.6853], ['2023-11-30', 2.6625], ['2023-12-30', 2.5553],
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+ ['2024-01-31', 2.4354], ['2024-02-29', 2.3675], ['2024-03-31', 2.3082], ['2024-04-29', 2.3028],
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+ ['2024-05-30', 2.2926], ['2024-06-30', 2.2486], ['2024-07-31', 2.1297], ['2024-08-29', 2.1704],
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+ ['2024-09-29', 2.1518], ['2024-10-31', 2.1406], ['2024-11-28', 2.0206], ['2024-12-30', 1.6752],
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+ ['2025-01-26', 1.6299], ['2025-02-27', 1.7152], ['2025-03-31', 1.8104], ['2025-04-29', 1.6243],
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+ ['2025-05-29', 1.6712], ['2025-06-30', 1.6433], ['2025-07-31', 1.7059], ['2025-08-31', 1.8257],
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+ ['2025-09-29', 1.8605], ['2025-10-30', 1.7954], ['2025-11-30', 1.8366], ['2025-12-30', 1.8473],
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+ ['2026-01-29', 1.8112], ['2026-02-27', 1.7753], ['2026-03-31', 1.8244], ['2026-04-29', 1.7473],
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+ ['2026-05-31', 1.7009], ['2026-06-30', 1.7448], ['2026-07-30', 1.7141], ['2026-08-31', 1.6834],
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+ ['2026-09-28', 1.6670],
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]
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return arr
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}
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@@ -220,42 +249,98 @@ function mockRrrMonthly() {
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return months
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}
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-// 超储率(季度,保留季节性波动形态,目标 2025-12=1.5、2026-06=1.3)
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+// 中国:超额存款准备金率(超储率):金融机构 (%, 季, M0010096)
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+// 数据源:4.1.1-债市分析-其他部分.xlsx 政策面 sheet AA 列日期 / AB 列数值, 起 2006-03, 共 82 个季度点
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function mockExcessReserveRatio() {
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return [
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- ['2018-12-31', 2.40], ['2019-03-31', 2.10], ['2019-06-30', 2.25], ['2019-09-30', 1.95],
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- ['2019-12-31', 1.85], ['2020-03-31', 1.65], ['2020-06-30', 1.75], ['2020-09-30', 1.55],
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- ['2020-12-31', 1.55], ['2021-03-31', 1.45], ['2021-06-30', 1.55], ['2021-09-30', 1.40],
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- ['2021-12-31', 1.50], ['2022-03-31', 1.35], ['2022-06-30', 1.45], ['2022-09-30', 1.25],
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- ['2022-12-31', 1.40], ['2023-03-31', 1.25], ['2023-06-30', 1.40], ['2023-09-30', 1.15],
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- ['2023-12-31', 1.30], ['2024-03-31', 1.20], ['2024-06-30', 1.30], ['2024-09-30', 1.10],
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- ['2024-12-31', 1.30], ['2025-03-31', 1.40], ['2025-06-30', 1.30], ['2025-09-30', 1.25],
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- ['2025-12-31', 1.50], ['2026-03-31', 1.40], ['2026-06-30', 1.30],
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+ ['2006-03-30', 3.00], ['2006-06-29', 3.10], ['2006-09-29', 2.52], ['2006-12-30', 4.80],
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+ ['2007-03-30', 2.87], ['2007-06-29', 3.00], ['2007-09-29', 2.80], ['2007-12-30', 3.50],
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+ ['2008-03-30', 2.00], ['2008-06-29', 1.95], ['2008-09-29', 2.07], ['2008-12-30', 5.11],
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+ ['2009-03-30', 2.28], ['2009-06-29', 1.55], ['2009-09-29', 2.06], ['2009-12-30', 3.13],
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+ ['2010-03-30', 1.96], ['2010-06-29', 1.82], ['2010-09-29', 1.70], ['2010-12-30', 2.00],
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+ ['2011-03-30', 1.50], ['2011-06-29', 0.80], ['2011-09-29', 1.40], ['2011-12-30', 2.30],
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+ ['2012-03-30', 2.20], ['2012-06-29', 2.10], ['2012-09-29', 2.10], ['2012-12-30', 3.30],
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+ ['2013-03-30', 2.00], ['2013-06-29', 2.10], ['2013-09-29', 2.10], ['2013-12-30', 2.30],
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+ ['2014-03-30', 1.80], ['2014-06-29', 1.70], ['2014-09-29', 2.30], ['2014-12-30', 2.70],
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+ ['2015-03-30', 2.30], ['2015-06-29', 2.50], ['2015-09-29', 1.90], ['2015-12-30', 2.10],
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+ ['2016-03-30', 2.00], ['2016-06-29', 2.10], ['2016-09-29', 1.70], ['2016-12-30', 2.40],
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+ ['2017-03-30', 1.30], ['2017-06-29', 1.40], ['2017-09-29', 1.30], ['2017-12-30', 2.10],
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+ ['2018-03-30', 1.30], ['2018-06-29', 1.70], ['2018-09-29', 1.50], ['2018-12-30', 2.40],
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+ ['2019-03-30', 1.30], ['2019-06-29', 2.00], ['2019-09-29', 1.80], ['2019-12-30', 2.40],
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+ ['2020-03-30', 2.10], ['2020-06-29', 1.60], ['2020-09-29', 1.60], ['2020-12-30', 2.20],
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+ ['2021-03-30', 1.50], ['2021-06-29', 1.20], ['2021-09-29', 1.40], ['2021-12-30', 2.00],
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+ ['2022-03-30', 1.70], ['2022-06-29', 1.50], ['2022-09-29', 1.50], ['2022-12-30', 2.00],
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+ ['2023-03-30', 1.70], ['2023-06-29', 1.60], ['2023-09-29', 1.40], ['2023-12-30', 2.10],
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+ ['2024-03-30', 1.50], ['2024-06-29', 1.50], ['2024-09-29', 1.80], ['2024-12-30', 1.10],
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+ ['2025-03-30', 1.00], ['2025-06-29', 1.40], ['2025-09-29', 1.40], ['2025-12-30', 1.50],
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+ ['2026-03-30', 1.40], ['2026-06-29', 1.30],
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]
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}
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-// 一般贷款利率 vs 个人住房按揭(2026-06 目标:3.51 / 3.05)
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+// 贷款加权平均利率 + 一般贷款 + 个人住房按揭 (%, 季)
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+// 数据源:4.1.1-债市分析-其他部分.xlsx 政策面 sheet AE(加权平均 M0058002) / AF(一般贷款 M0058003) / AG(按揭 M0058005) 列, 自 2007-12 起
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function mockLoanRates() {
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return {
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+ weighted: [
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+ ['2008-09-29', 7.39], ['2008-12-30', 5.56], ['2009-03-30', 4.76], ['2009-06-29', 4.98],
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+ ['2009-09-29', 5.05], ['2009-12-30', 5.25], ['2010-03-30', 5.51], ['2010-06-29', 5.57],
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+ ['2010-09-29', 5.59], ['2010-12-30', 6.19], ['2011-03-30', 6.91], ['2011-06-29', 7.29],
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+ ['2011-09-29', 8.06], ['2011-12-30', 8.01], ['2012-03-30', 7.61], ['2012-06-29', 7.06],
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+ ['2012-09-29', 6.97], ['2012-12-30', 6.78], ['2013-03-30', 6.65], ['2013-06-29', 6.91],
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+ ['2013-09-29', 7.05], ['2013-12-30', 7.20], ['2014-03-30', 7.18], ['2014-06-29', 6.96],
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+ ['2014-09-29', 6.97], ['2014-12-30', 6.77], ['2015-03-30', 6.56], ['2015-06-29', 6.04],
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+ ['2015-09-29', 5.70], ['2015-12-30', 5.27], ['2016-03-30', 5.24], ['2016-06-29', 5.20],
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+ ['2016-09-29', 5.15], ['2016-12-30', 5.22], ['2017-03-30', 5.45], ['2017-06-29', 5.60],
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+ ['2017-09-29', 5.71], ['2017-12-30', 5.71], ['2018-03-30', 5.91], ['2018-06-29', 5.94],
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+ ['2018-09-29', 5.92], ['2018-12-30', 5.64], ['2019-03-30', 5.69], ['2019-06-29', 5.66],
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+ ['2019-09-29', 5.62], ['2019-12-30', 5.44], ['2020-03-30', 5.08], ['2020-06-29', 5.06],
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+ ['2020-09-29', 5.12], ['2020-12-30', 5.03], ['2021-03-30', 5.10], ['2021-06-29', 4.93],
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+ ['2021-09-29', 5.00], ['2021-12-30', 4.76], ['2022-03-30', 4.65], ['2022-06-29', 4.41],
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+ ['2022-09-29', 4.34], ['2022-12-30', 4.14], ['2023-03-30', 4.34], ['2023-06-29', 4.19],
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+ ['2023-09-29', 4.14], ['2023-12-30', 3.83], ['2024-03-30', 3.99], ['2024-06-29', 3.68],
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+ ['2024-09-29', 3.67], ['2024-12-30', 3.28], ['2025-03-30', 3.44], ['2025-06-29', 3.29],
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+ ['2025-09-29', 3.24], ['2025-12-30', 3.15], ['2026-03-30', 3.23], ['2026-06-29', 3.05],
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+ ],
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generalLoan: [
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- ['2018-12-31', 5.91], ['2019-03-31', 5.69], ['2019-06-30', 5.66], ['2019-09-30', 5.74],
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- ['2019-12-31', 5.74], ['2020-03-31', 5.48], ['2020-06-30', 5.26], ['2020-09-30', 5.12],
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- ['2020-12-31', 4.97], ['2021-03-31', 4.83], ['2021-06-30', 4.78], ['2021-09-30', 4.72],
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- ['2021-12-31', 4.65], ['2022-03-31', 4.57], ['2022-06-30', 4.41], ['2022-09-30', 4.34],
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- ['2022-12-31', 4.20], ['2023-03-31', 4.11], ['2023-06-30', 4.02], ['2023-09-30', 3.92],
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- ['2023-12-31', 3.83], ['2024-03-31', 3.73], ['2024-06-30', 3.61], ['2024-09-30', 3.51],
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- ['2024-12-31', 3.42], ['2025-03-31', 3.40], ['2025-06-30', 3.45], ['2025-09-30', 3.48],
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- ['2025-12-31', 3.55], ['2026-03-31', 3.54], ['2026-06-30', 3.51],
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+ ['2007-12-30', 7.89], ['2008-09-29', 8.19], ['2008-12-30', 6.23], ['2009-03-30', 5.70],
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+ ['2009-06-29', 5.70], ['2009-09-29', 5.74], ['2009-12-30', 5.88], ['2010-03-30', 6.04],
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+ ['2010-06-29', 5.99], ['2010-09-29', 6.09], ['2010-12-30', 6.34], ['2011-03-30', 7.10],
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+ ['2011-06-29', 7.36], ['2011-09-29', 7.80], ['2011-12-30', 7.80], ['2012-03-30', 7.97],
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+ ['2012-06-29', 7.55], ['2012-09-29', 7.18], ['2012-12-30', 7.07], ['2013-03-30', 7.22],
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+ ['2013-06-29', 7.10], ['2013-09-29', 7.16], ['2013-12-30', 7.14], ['2014-03-30', 7.37],
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+ ['2014-06-29', 7.26], ['2014-09-29', 7.33], ['2014-12-30', 6.92], ['2015-03-30', 6.78],
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+ ['2015-06-29', 6.46], ['2015-09-29', 6.01], ['2015-12-30', 5.64], ['2016-03-30', 5.67],
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+ ['2016-06-29', 5.58], ['2016-09-29', 5.65], ['2016-12-30', 5.44], ['2017-03-30', 5.63],
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+ ['2017-06-29', 5.71], ['2017-09-29', 5.86], ['2017-12-30', 5.80], ['2018-03-30', 6.01],
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+ ['2018-06-29', 6.08], ['2018-09-29', 6.19], ['2018-12-30', 5.91], ['2019-03-30', 6.04],
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+ ['2019-06-29', 5.94], ['2019-09-29', 5.96], ['2019-12-30', 5.74], ['2020-03-30', 5.48],
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+ ['2020-06-29', 5.26], ['2020-09-29', 5.31], ['2020-12-30', 5.30], ['2021-03-30', 5.30],
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+ ['2021-06-29', 5.20], ['2021-09-29', 5.30], ['2021-12-30', 5.19], ['2022-03-30', 4.98],
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+ ['2022-06-29', 4.76], ['2022-09-29', 4.65], ['2022-12-30', 4.57], ['2023-03-30', 4.53],
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+ ['2023-06-29', 4.48], ['2023-09-29', 4.51], ['2023-12-30', 4.35], ['2024-03-30', 4.27],
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+ ['2024-06-29', 4.13], ['2024-09-29', 4.15], ['2024-12-30', 3.82], ['2025-03-30', 3.75],
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+ ['2025-06-29', 3.69], ['2025-09-29', 3.67], ['2025-12-30', 3.55], ['2026-03-30', 3.54],
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+ ['2026-06-29', 3.51],
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],
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mortgage: [
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- ['2018-12-31', 5.75], ['2019-03-31', 5.69], ['2019-06-30', 5.53], ['2019-09-30', 5.55],
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- ['2019-12-31', 5.54], ['2020-03-31', 5.48], ['2020-06-30', 5.32], ['2020-09-30', 5.16],
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- ['2020-12-31', 5.10], ['2021-03-31', 5.05], ['2021-06-30', 5.00], ['2021-09-30', 4.95],
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- ['2021-12-31', 4.91], ['2022-03-31', 4.84], ['2022-06-30', 4.72], ['2022-09-30', 4.59],
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- ['2022-12-31', 4.46], ['2023-03-31', 4.32], ['2023-06-30', 4.11], ['2023-09-30', 3.92],
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- ['2023-12-31', 3.78], ['2024-03-31', 3.62], ['2024-06-30', 3.45], ['2024-09-30', 3.31],
|
|
|
- ['2024-12-31', 3.18], ['2025-03-31', 3.10], ['2025-06-30', 3.08], ['2025-09-30', 3.07],
|
|
|
- ['2025-12-31', 3.06], ['2026-03-31', 3.05], ['2026-06-30', 3.05],
|
|
|
+ ['2008-12-30', 4.94], ['2009-03-30', 4.45], ['2009-06-29', 4.34], ['2009-09-29', 4.38],
|
|
|
+ ['2009-12-30', 4.42], ['2010-03-30', 4.63], ['2010-06-29', 4.95], ['2010-09-29', 5.03],
|
|
|
+ ['2010-12-30', 5.34], ['2011-03-30', 6.17], ['2011-06-29', 6.83], ['2011-09-29', 7.36],
|
|
|
+ ['2011-12-30', 7.62], ['2012-03-30', 7.43], ['2012-06-29', 6.68], ['2012-09-29', 6.20],
|
|
|
+ ['2012-12-30', 6.22], ['2013-03-30', 6.27], ['2013-06-29', 6.29], ['2013-09-29', 6.39],
|
|
|
+ ['2013-12-30', 6.53], ['2014-03-30', 6.70], ['2014-06-29', 6.93], ['2014-09-29', 6.96],
|
|
|
+ ['2014-12-30', 6.25], ['2015-03-30', 6.01], ['2015-06-29', 5.53], ['2015-09-29', 5.02],
|
|
|
+ ['2015-12-30', 4.70], ['2016-03-30', 4.63], ['2016-06-29', 4.55], ['2016-09-29', 4.52],
|
|
|
+ ['2016-12-30', 4.52], ['2017-03-30', 4.55], ['2017-06-29', 4.69], ['2017-09-29', 5.01],
|
|
|
+ ['2017-12-30', 5.26], ['2018-03-30', 5.42], ['2018-06-29', 5.60], ['2018-09-29', 5.72],
|
|
|
+ ['2018-12-30', 5.75], ['2019-03-30', 5.68], ['2019-06-29', 5.53], ['2019-09-29', 5.55],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-12-30', 5.62], ['2020-03-30', 5.60], ['2020-06-29', 5.42], ['2020-09-29', 5.36],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-12-30', 5.34], ['2021-03-30', 5.37], ['2021-06-29', 5.42], ['2021-09-29', 5.54],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-12-30', 5.63], ['2022-03-30', 5.49], ['2022-06-29', 4.62], ['2022-09-29', 4.34],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-12-30', 4.26], ['2023-03-30', 4.14], ['2023-06-29', 4.11], ['2023-09-29', 4.02],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-12-30', 3.97], ['2024-03-30', 3.69], ['2024-06-29', 3.45], ['2024-09-29', 3.31],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-12-30', 3.09], ['2025-03-30', 3.13], ['2025-06-29', 3.06], ['2025-09-29', 3.06],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-12-30', 3.06], ['2026-03-30', 3.06], ['2026-06-29', 3.05],
|
|
|
],
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
@@ -275,15 +360,78 @@ function mockFiscal() {
|
|
|
['2022-12-31', 2.8], ['2023-12-31', 3.0], ['2024-12-31', 3.0], ['2025-12-31', 4.0],
|
|
|
['2026-12-31', 4.0],
|
|
|
],
|
|
|
- govDebt: [
|
|
|
- ['2019-12-31', 38.10], ['2020-06-30', 41.50], ['2020-12-31', 46.55], ['2021-06-30', 50.78],
|
|
|
- ['2021-12-31', 53.10], ['2022-06-30', 56.78], ['2022-12-31', 60.93], ['2023-06-30', 64.85],
|
|
|
- ['2023-12-31', 70.12], ['2024-06-30', 75.50], ['2024-12-31', 80.78], ['2025-06-30', 86.30],
|
|
|
- ['2025-12-31', 92.10], ['2026-03-31', 100.50], ['2026-06-30', 102.30], ['2026-08-31', 103.69],
|
|
|
- ],
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
+// 社会融资规模存量:政府债券 (万亿元, 月, M6179494)
|
|
|
+// 数据源:4.1.1-债市分析-其他部分.xlsx 政策面 sheet AO 列(日期) / AP 列(余额), 2017-01 起 116 个月
|
|
|
+function mockGovDebt() {
|
|
|
+ return [
|
|
|
+ ['2017-01-30', 22.64], ['2017-02-27', 22.62], ['2017-03-30', 22.94], ['2017-04-29', 23.54],
|
|
|
+ ['2017-05-30', 24.19], ['2017-06-29', 24.85], ['2017-07-30', 25.79], ['2017-08-30', 26.23],
|
|
|
+ ['2017-09-29', 26.78], ['2017-10-30', 27.28], ['2017-11-29', 27.88], ['2017-12-30', 28.15],
|
|
|
+ ['2018-01-30', 28.15], ['2018-02-27', 28.17], ['2018-03-30', 28.35], ['2018-04-29', 28.88],
|
|
|
+ ['2018-05-30', 29.16], ['2018-06-29', 29.81], ['2018-07-30', 30.61], ['2018-08-30', 31.47],
|
|
|
+ ['2018-09-29', 32.38], ['2018-10-30', 32.69], ['2018-11-29', 32.66], ['2018-12-30', 33.01],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-01-30', 33.18], ['2019-02-27', 33.61], ['2019-03-30', 33.95], ['2019-04-29', 34.40],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-05-30', 34.78], ['2019-06-29', 35.47], ['2019-07-30', 36.11], ['2019-08-30', 36.62],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-09-29', 36.99], ['2019-10-30', 37.18], ['2019-11-29', 37.35], ['2019-12-30', 37.73],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-01-30', 38.49], ['2020-02-28', 38.67], ['2020-03-30', 39.31], ['2020-04-29', 39.64],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-05-30', 40.78], ['2020-06-29', 41.52], ['2020-07-30', 42.07], ['2020-08-30', 43.45],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-09-29', 44.46], ['2020-10-30', 44.95], ['2020-11-29', 45.35], ['2020-12-30', 46.06],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-01-30', 46.29], ['2021-02-27', 46.39], ['2021-03-30', 46.71], ['2021-04-29', 47.08],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-05-30', 47.75], ['2021-06-29', 48.50], ['2021-07-30', 48.68], ['2021-08-30', 49.66],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-09-29', 50.46], ['2021-10-30', 51.08], ['2021-11-29', 51.90], ['2021-12-30', 53.06],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-01-30', 53.67], ['2022-02-27', 53.94], ['2022-03-30', 54.65], ['2022-04-29', 55.04],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-05-30', 56.10], ['2022-06-29', 57.72], ['2022-07-30', 58.12], ['2022-08-30', 58.42],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-09-29', 58.98], ['2022-10-30', 59.25], ['2022-11-29', 59.91], ['2022-12-30', 60.19],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-01-30', 60.60], ['2023-02-27', 61.41], ['2023-03-30', 62.02], ['2023-04-29', 62.47],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-05-30', 63.03], ['2023-06-29', 63.57], ['2023-07-30', 63.98], ['2023-08-30', 65.15],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-09-29', 66.14], ['2023-10-30', 67.71], ['2023-11-29', 68.86], ['2023-12-30', 69.79],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-01-30', 70.09], ['2024-02-28', 70.69], ['2024-03-30', 71.15], ['2024-04-29', 71.06],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-05-30', 72.28], ['2024-06-29', 73.13], ['2024-07-30', 73.82], ['2024-08-30', 75.44],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-09-29', 76.97], ['2024-10-30', 78.02], ['2024-11-29', 79.33], ['2024-12-30', 81.09],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-01-30', 81.78], ['2025-02-27', 83.47], ['2025-03-30', 84.96], ['2025-04-29', 85.93],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-05-30', 87.39], ['2025-06-29', 88.74], ['2025-07-30', 89.99], ['2025-08-30', 91.36],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-09-29', 92.55], ['2025-10-30', 93.03], ['2025-11-29', 94.24], ['2025-12-30', 94.92],
|
|
|
+ ['2026-01-30', 95.90], ['2026-02-27', 97.30], ['2026-03-30', 98.47], ['2026-04-29', 99.37],
|
|
|
+ ['2026-05-30', 100.60], ['2026-06-29', 101.36], ['2026-07-30', 102.68], ['2026-08-30', 103.69],
|
|
|
+ ]
|
|
|
+}
|
|
|
+
|
|
|
+// 社会融资规模存量:政府债券 同比 (%, 月)
|
|
|
+// 数据源:4.1.1-债市分析-其他部分.xlsx 政策面 sheet AO/AQ 列, 2018-01 起 104 个月
|
|
|
+function mockGovDebtYoY() {
|
|
|
+ return [
|
|
|
+ ['2018-01-30', 24.36], ['2018-02-27', 24.54], ['2018-03-30', 23.58], ['2018-04-29', 22.71],
|
|
|
+ ['2018-05-30', 20.54], ['2018-06-29', 19.97], ['2018-07-30', 18.67], ['2018-08-30', 19.97],
|
|
|
+ ['2018-09-29', 20.91], ['2018-10-30', 19.82], ['2018-11-29', 17.16], ['2018-12-30', 17.24],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-01-30', 17.84], ['2019-02-27', 19.31], ['2019-03-30', 19.75], ['2019-04-29', 19.08],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-05-30', 19.29], ['2019-06-29', 18.99], ['2019-07-30', 17.98], ['2019-08-30', 16.35],
|
|
|
+ ['2019-09-29', 14.24], ['2019-10-30', 13.75], ['2019-11-29', 14.36], ['2019-12-30', 14.30],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-01-30', 16.01], ['2020-02-28', 15.05], ['2020-03-30', 15.78], ['2020-04-29', 15.25],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-05-30', 17.25], ['2020-06-29', 17.06], ['2020-07-30', 16.50], ['2020-08-30', 18.66],
|
|
|
+ ['2020-09-29', 20.18], ['2020-10-30', 20.89], ['2020-11-29', 21.41], ['2020-12-30', 22.09],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-01-30', 20.27], ['2021-02-27', 19.96], ['2021-03-30', 18.82], ['2021-04-29', 18.77],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-05-30', 17.09], ['2021-06-29', 16.81], ['2021-07-30', 15.71], ['2021-08-30', 14.29],
|
|
|
+ ['2021-09-29', 13.50], ['2021-10-30', 13.64], ['2021-11-29', 14.44], ['2021-12-30', 15.20],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-01-30', 15.94], ['2022-02-27', 16.28], ['2022-03-30', 17.00], ['2022-04-29', 16.91],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-05-30', 17.49], ['2022-06-29', 19.01], ['2022-07-30', 19.39], ['2022-08-30', 17.64],
|
|
|
+ ['2022-09-29', 16.88], ['2022-10-30', 15.99], ['2022-11-29', 15.43], ['2022-12-30', 13.44],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-01-30', 12.91], ['2023-02-27', 13.85], ['2023-03-30', 13.49], ['2023-04-29', 13.50],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-05-30', 12.35], ['2023-06-29', 10.14], ['2023-07-30', 10.08], ['2023-08-30', 11.52],
|
|
|
+ ['2023-09-29', 12.14], ['2023-10-30', 14.28], ['2023-11-29', 14.94], ['2023-12-30', 15.95],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-01-30', 15.66], ['2024-02-28', 15.11], ['2024-03-30', 14.72], ['2024-04-29', 13.75],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-05-30', 14.68], ['2024-06-29', 15.04], ['2024-07-30', 15.38], ['2024-08-30', 15.79],
|
|
|
+ ['2024-09-29', 16.37], ['2024-10-30', 15.23], ['2024-11-29', 15.20], ['2024-12-30', 16.19],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-01-30', 16.68], ['2025-02-27', 18.08], ['2025-03-30', 19.41], ['2025-04-29', 20.93],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-05-30', 20.90], ['2025-06-29', 21.35], ['2025-07-30', 21.90], ['2025-08-30', 21.10],
|
|
|
+ ['2025-09-29', 20.24], ['2025-10-30', 19.24], ['2025-11-29', 18.79], ['2025-12-30', 17.06],
|
|
|
+ ['2026-01-30', 17.27], ['2026-02-27', 16.57], ['2026-03-30', 15.90], ['2026-04-29', 15.64],
|
|
|
+ ['2026-05-30', 15.12], ['2026-06-29', 14.22], ['2026-07-30', 14.10], ['2026-08-30', 13.50],
|
|
|
+ ]
|
|
|
+}
|
|
|
+
|
|
|
const mock = {
|
|
|
policyRate: { name: '政策利率(1Y贷款基准/7D逆回购)', unit: '%', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M0041371', series: mockPolicyRateMonthly() },
|
|
|
y10: { name: '中债国债到期收益率:10年', unit: '%', source: '中债登', code: 'G0000892', series: mockY10Series() },
|
|
|
@@ -291,9 +439,11 @@ const mock = {
|
|
|
excess: { name: '金融机构:超额准备金率', unit: '%', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M0085858', series: mockExcessReserveRatio() },
|
|
|
loanGen: { name: '一般贷款:加权利率', unit: '%', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M0096879', series: mockLoanRates().generalLoan },
|
|
|
loanMort: { name: '个人住房按揭:加权利率', unit: '%', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M0096881', series: mockLoanRates().mortgage },
|
|
|
+ loanAvg: { name: '贷款加权平均利率', unit: '%', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M0058002', series: mockLoanRates().weighted },
|
|
|
deficit: { name: '财政赤字(预期目标)', unit: '亿元', source: '中国政府网', code: 'M5405501', series: mockFiscal().deficit },
|
|
|
deficitR: { name: '财政赤字率(预期目标)', unit: '%', source: '中国政府网', code: 'M5405502', series: mockFiscal().deficitRatio },
|
|
|
- govDebt: { name: '社会融资规模存量:政府债券', unit: '万亿元', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M6179494', series: mockFiscal().govDebt },
|
|
|
+ govDebt: { name: '社会融资规模存量:政府债券', unit: '万亿元', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M6179494', series: mockGovDebt() },
|
|
|
+ govDebtY: { name: '社融政府债券:同比', unit: '%', source: '中国人民银行', code: 'M6179494_yoy', series: mockGovDebtYoY() },
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
function mockSeries(key) { return mock[key]?.series || [] }
|
|
|
@@ -306,6 +456,7 @@ export const kpiMeta = {
|
|
|
excess: { source: mock.excess.source, code: mock.excess.code },
|
|
|
loanGen: { source: mock.loanGen.source, code: mock.loanGen.code },
|
|
|
loanMort: { source: mock.loanMort.source, code: mock.loanMort.code },
|
|
|
+ loanAvg: { source: mock.loanAvg.source, code: mock.loanAvg.code },
|
|
|
deficitR: { source: mock.deficitR.source, code: mock.deficitR.code },
|
|
|
govDebt: { source: mock.govDebt.source, code: mock.govDebt.code },
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
@@ -313,7 +464,7 @@ function mockMeta(key) {
|
|
|
const m = mock[key]
|
|
|
const freqMap = {
|
|
|
policyRate: '日', y10: '日', rrr: '月', excess: '季',
|
|
|
- loanGen: '季', loanMort: '季',
|
|
|
+ loanGen: '季', loanMort: '季', loanAvg: '季',
|
|
|
deficit: '年', deficitR: '年', govDebt: '月',
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
return {
|
|
|
@@ -371,39 +522,42 @@ export const loadRrr = () => loadWithFallback('rrr')
|
|
|
export const loadExcess = () => loadWithFallback('excess')
|
|
|
export const loadLoanGen = () => loadWithFallback('loanGen')
|
|
|
export const loadLoanMort = () => loadWithFallback('loanMort')
|
|
|
+export const loadLoanAvg = () => loadWithFallback('loanAvg')
|
|
|
export const loadDeficit = () => loadWithFallback('deficit')
|
|
|
export const loadDeficitR = () => loadWithFallback('deficitR')
|
|
|
export const loadGovDebt = () => loadWithFallback('govDebt')
|
|
|
+// 社融政府债券同比为派生指标, 无独立 API 代码, 直接走 mock
|
|
|
+export const loadGovDebtY = async () => ({ meta: null, series: mockGovDebtYoY() })
|
|
|
|
|
|
export async function loadAllSeries() {
|
|
|
const [
|
|
|
- policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort,
|
|
|
- deficit, deficitR, govDebt,
|
|
|
+ policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort, loanAvg,
|
|
|
+ deficit, deficitR, govDebt, govDebtY,
|
|
|
] = await Promise.all([
|
|
|
loadPolicyRate(), loadY10(), loadRrr(), loadExcess(),
|
|
|
- loadLoanGen(), loadLoanMort(),
|
|
|
- loadDeficit(), loadDeficitR(), loadGovDebt(),
|
|
|
+ loadLoanGen(), loadLoanMort(), loadLoanAvg(),
|
|
|
+ loadDeficit(), loadDeficitR(), loadGovDebt(), loadGovDebtY(),
|
|
|
])
|
|
|
return {
|
|
|
- policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort,
|
|
|
- deficit, deficitR, govDebt,
|
|
|
+ policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort, loanAvg,
|
|
|
+ deficit, deficitR, govDebt, govDebtY,
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
export async function loadLatestAll() {
|
|
|
const [
|
|
|
- policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort,
|
|
|
- deficit, deficitR, govDebt,
|
|
|
+ policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort, loanAvg,
|
|
|
+ deficit, deficitR, govDebt, govDebtY,
|
|
|
] = await Promise.all([
|
|
|
loadLatestWithFallback('policyRate'), loadLatestWithFallback('y10'),
|
|
|
loadLatestWithFallback('rrr'), loadLatestWithFallback('excess'),
|
|
|
- loadLatestWithFallback('loanGen'), loadLatestWithFallback('loanMort'),
|
|
|
+ loadLatestWithFallback('loanGen'), loadLatestWithFallback('loanMort'), loadLatestWithFallback('loanAvg'),
|
|
|
loadLatestWithFallback('deficit'), loadLatestWithFallback('deficitR'),
|
|
|
- loadLatestWithFallback('govDebt'),
|
|
|
+ loadLatestWithFallback('govDebt'), loadGovDebtY(),
|
|
|
])
|
|
|
return {
|
|
|
- policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort,
|
|
|
- deficit, deficitR, govDebt,
|
|
|
+ policyRate, y10, rrr, excess, loanGen, loanMort, loanAvg,
|
|
|
+ deficit, deficitR, govDebt, govDebtY,
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|